FIG.55 · COSMOLOGY

FRIEDMANN'S EQUATIONS

Two ODEs that govern the expansion of everything.

§ 01

A weather forecaster does cosmology

In 1922 a 34-year-old Russian named published four pages in the Zeitschrift für Physik that initially believed were wrong. Friedmann was not an astronomer. He had spent the First World War flying reconnaissance and dropping bombs over Przemyśl, and afterwards built the Soviet Union's theoretical meteorology from almost nothing. He approached Einstein's 1915 field equations the way a forecaster approaches the atmosphere: as a dynamical system to be integrated forward in time.

Einstein had assumed, in his 1917 cosmological paper, that the universe was static — eternal and unchanging on the largest scales. To make a static universe hold still against its own gravity he had inserted the Cosmological Constant Λ\Lambda by hand, tuned to exactly cancel the pull of matter. Friedmann refused the assumption. He asked the field equations a simpler question: if the universe is the same everywhere and in every direction, how does it evolve? The answer was not a number. It was an equation of motion for the size of space itself.

Einstein read the paper and fired off a note to the journal claiming Friedmann had made an error. He was wrong; he had made the error. A year later, prompted by Friedmann's colleague Yuri Krutkov, Einstein published a one-sentence retraction. Friedmann died of typhoid in 1925 at age 37, never knowing that the expanding universe he had derived on paper would be confirmed by telescopes within the decade. In 1927, independently, the Belgian priest rederived the same equations, connected them to the redshifts of galaxies, and took the further step Friedmann had not: he proposed that the expansion implied a beginning — a "primeval atom" from which everything unfolded.

§ 02

Two equations, written as bookkeeping

We will not derive these from the tensor machinery — that path runs through the FLRW Metric and the FLRW geometry. Instead, read them as accounting. The only unknown is the Scale Factor a(t)a(t): a single number, normalised to a=1a = 1 today, that measures how stretched space is. Galaxies sit at fixed comoving coordinates; the physical distance between any two of them is proportional to a(t)a(t). The Hubble rate is the fractional growth rate Ha˙/aH \equiv \dot a / a.

The first Friedmann equation is an energy balance:

H2=(a˙a)2=8πG3ρkc2a2+Λc23H^2 = \left(\frac{\dot a}{a}\right)^2 = \frac{8\pi G}{3}\rho - \frac{k c^2}{a^2} + \frac{\Lambda c^2}{3}

Read it left to right: the square of the expansion rate equals the gravitating energy density ρ\rho (matter and radiation, pulling expansion down), minus a curvature term set by the spatial geometry k{1,0,+1}k \in \{-1, 0, +1\}, plus a constant vacuum term from Λ\Lambda. It is exactly the statement that the kinetic energy of expansion plus the potential energy of gravity is a conserved constant — Newtonian energy conservation, dressed in relativistic clothing, applied to a shell of the universe.

The second Friedmann equation governs the acceleration:

a¨a=4πG3(ρ+3pc2)+Λc23\frac{\ddot a}{a} = -\frac{4\pi G}{3}\left(\rho + \frac{3p}{c^2}\right) + \frac{\Lambda c^2}{3}

This one says whether the expansion is speeding up or slowing down. Ordinary matter and radiation (ρ>0\rho > 0, p0p \geq 0) make a¨\ddot a negative — gravity decelerates the expansion, exactly as you would expect. The surprise is the factor of 3p3p: in general relativity, pressure gravitates too. A gas of photons, with pressure p=ρc2/3p = \rho c^2/3, decelerates the universe harder than the same energy density of dust. And anything with sufficiently negative pressure — like the vacuum, with p=ρc2p = -\rho c^2 — can flip the sign and make the expansion accelerate.

§ 03

How each ingredient dilutes

To run the equations forward you need to know how ρ\rho changes as space stretches. Each component of the cosmic energy budget dilutes at its own rate, and that single fact controls the entire history.

Matter — galaxies, gas, dark matter, anything moving slowly compared to light — is just stuff in a box. Double the size of the box in each direction and the number density falls by a3a^3. So ρma3\rho_m \propto a^{-3}.

Radiation — photons and, while they are relativistic, neutrinos — dilutes the same volumetric a3a^{-3} way, but suffers an extra factor of aa: every wavelength is stretched by the expansion, so each photon's energy E=hc/λE = hc/\lambda drops as a1a^{-1}. Hence ρra4\rho_r \propto a^{-4}.

The cosmological constant is the strangest. Its energy density does not dilute at all: ρΛ=const\rho_\Lambda = \text{const}. Stretch space and you get more vacuum energy, in exact proportion to the new volume. This is what it means for Λ\Lambda to be a property of empty space itself rather than of anything in it.

H2H02=E(a)2=Ωra4+Ωma3+Ωka2+ΩΛ\frac{H^2}{H_0^2} = E(a)^2 = \Omega_r\,a^{-4} + \Omega_m\,a^{-3} + \Omega_k\,a^{-2} + \Omega_\Lambda

Dividing the first Friedmann equation by today's value H02H_0^2 collapses everything into this one dimensionless function. Each Ωi=ρi/ρcrit\Omega_i = \rho_i / \rho_{\text{crit}} is a present-day density measured against the Critical Density ρcrit=3H02/8πG\rho_{\text{crit}} = 3H_0^2 / 8\pi G — the density that makes space exactly flat. The curvature term carries Ωk=kc2/(a02H02)\Omega_k = -kc^2/(a_0^2 H_0^2), and the flatness identity Ωm+Ωr+Ωk+ΩΛ=1\Omega_m + \Omega_r + \Omega_k + \Omega_\Lambda = 1 is just the first equation evaluated today. The function E(a)E(a) is the whole of cosmic dynamics in one line.

FIG.55a — the universe machine. Three sliders set the present-day density parameters Ω_m (matter), Ω_r (radiation), and Ω_Λ (dark energy); the curvature term Ω_k = 1 − Ω_m − Ω_r − Ω_Λ is read off automatically as the flatness sum. The first Friedmann equation ȧ = a·E(a) is then integrated live with a fourth-order Runge–Kutta scheme, and the resulting scale factor a(t) is plotted in Hubble-time units, with a = 1 marking today. Drag the sliders and watch the three possible fates emerge: a closed, matter-heavy universe (red) climbs to a maximum size and then recollapses to a Big Crunch; a flat or open matter universe (amber) coasts upward forever while decelerating; and any universe with enough Λ (cyan) bends sharply upward into runaway acceleration. The presets reproduce the Einstein–de Sitter model, a recollapsing closed universe, and the concordance ΛCDM cosmology that matches our own.
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§ 04

The fate of everything, by composition

Because each ingredient dilutes differently, the universe passes through eras in which one component dominates the others, and the long-term fate is decided by whichever wins in the end.

Run the clock backward toward a0a \to 0 and the steepest term takes over: Ωra4\Omega_r a^{-4} blows up fastest, so the early universe was radiation-dominated. As space expanded, radiation thinned faster than matter, and at a scale factor aeq=Ωr/Ωm3×104a_{\text{eq}} = \Omega_r/\Omega_m \approx 3 \times 10^{-4} — redshift z3400z \approx 3400, about 50,000 years after the Big Bang — matter took over. The matter-dominated era is when galaxies formed and the cosmic web grew. Finally, because matter keeps diluting while Λ\Lambda does not, the constant vacuum term inevitably wins: at a0.77a \approx 0.77 (z0.3z \approx 0.3, roughly four billion years ago) the universe became Λ-dominated, and it will stay that way forever.

FIG.55b — the component scaling race, on a log–log plot of energy density (in units of today's critical density) against the scale factor a. Radiation (magenta) falls as a⁻⁴ — the steepest line; matter (cyan) as a⁻³; and the cosmological constant (amber) is dead flat, since vacuum energy never dilutes. Because the three lines have different slopes they cross, and each crossing marks an epoch: the left dashed guide is matter–radiation equality at z ≈ 3400, the right is matter–Λ equality at z ≈ 0.3. Drag the cursor across cosmic history and the readout names which ingredient rules at that scale factor — radiation in the fireball, matter through structure formation, dark energy from a few billion years ago onward. The whole expansion history is the story of which of these three lines happens to be on top.
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The geometry term Ωka2\Omega_k a^{-2} matters most at intermediate times and, crucially, decides the fate of a universe without Λ\Lambda. In the matter-only models studied for most of the twentieth century, the question "will the universe expand forever or recollapse?" was identical to "is space open, flat, or closed?" — a closed (k=+1k = +1, Ωm>1\Omega_m > 1) universe has enough self-gravity to halt and reverse the expansion, ending in a Big Crunch; a flat or open universe expands forever. This is why measuring the mean density of the universe, and comparing it to ρcrit\rho_{\text{crit}}, was the central project of observational cosmology for sixty years.

§ 05

The sign flip nobody ordered

The clean dichotomy — open expands, closed recollapses — was shattered in 1998. Two teams measuring distant Type Ia supernovae found the expansion was not decelerating as a matter universe must. It was accelerating. The second Friedmann equation demanded a component with ρ+3p/c2<0\rho + 3p/c^2 < 0: negative pressure, vacuum energy, Λ\Lambda resurrected.

In the concordance model the universe therefore did something counterintuitive. For its first nine billion years, matter dominated and the expansion decelerated — gravity was winning, slowing everything down. Then, as matter thinned past the point where the constant Λ\Lambda term could overpower it, the deceleration smoothly turned into acceleration. The handoff — sometimes called the "cosmic jerk" — happened at a0.6a \approx 0.6, redshift z0.6z \approx 0.6, when the universe was roughly seven billion years old.

FIG.55c — the deceleration-to-acceleration handoff. The curve is the reduced acceleration ä/(aH₀²) of the universe plotted against the scale factor a, holding matter and radiation fixed at the concordance values while a slider sweeps Ω_Λ. The red band below the axis is decelerating expansion (ä < 0, gravity winning); the cyan band above is accelerating expansion (ä > 0, the vacuum winning). At the concordance setting the curve starts deep in the red — the matter-dominated past — climbs, and crosses zero near a ≈ 0.6 (z ≈ 0.6), the marked 'cosmic jerk', before turning the expansion into the runaway we measure today. Slide Ω_Λ down toward zero and the crossing marches to the right and then disappears entirely: with no dark energy the universe decelerates forever, exactly as everyone assumed before 1998. The dashed vertical line marks today, a = 1, where the deceleration parameter q₀ ≈ −0.55.
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§ 06

Why two equations run the cosmos

Friedmann's two equations are the backbone of modern cosmology. Every quantity that observational cosmology measures — the age of the universe, the distance to a galaxy at a given redshift, the angular size of structures on the microwave sky — is an integral of E(a)E(a). Fix the density parameters Ωm\Omega_m, Ωr\Omega_r, ΩΛ\Omega_\Lambda and you have fixed the entire expansion history; the rest is computing integrals.

The same equations that gave Friedmann an expanding universe on paper in 1922 now serve as a precision instrument. Plug in the matter density and you predict the redshift at which expansion stopped decelerating; the supernova data confirm it. Run them back through the radiation era and they set the temperature history that produced the helium of big bang nucleosynthesis and the microwave background. The Hubble rate they define is what connects redshift to recession in Hubble's law and cosmological redshift, where the modern tension between two ways of measuring H0H_0 is currently the sharpest open problem in the field.

What the equations cannot tell you is what the ingredients are. They take Ωm\Omega_m, Ωr\Omega_r, and ΩΛ\Omega_\Lambda as inputs, and roughly 95% of those inputs — the dark matter that dominates Ωm\Omega_m and the dark energy that is ΩΛ\Omega_\Lambda — remain unidentified. Friedmann's bookkeeping is exact; the entries in the ledger are still being read. That is the subject of dark matter and dark energy, and it is where a century of cosmic accounting hands the problem back to physics.